
Weekly digest - May 18 2022

Q&A
JENNIFER BUCKLEY OF SWEEF CAPITAL
![]() FUND FOCUS
EAST VENTURES EXPANDS ITS LP ROLODEX
![]() DEAL FOCUS
ELEVATION TARGETS LUMENA UPLIFT
![]() DEAL FOCUS
MEKONG UNCONFINED TO CONSUMER THESIS
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By the Numbers
AVCJ RESEARCH
THE SOFTBANK STORY
The fortunes of SoftBank Group’s Vision Fund series have tracked those of the technology sector, pre-pandemic and post-pandemic: an investment loss of JPY 1.8trn (USD 13.9bn) in the 12 months ended March 2020; a gain of JPY 6.4trn in 2021; and a loss of JPY 3.5trn in 2022. Group-level pre-tax income has fluctuated accordingly, from negligible to JPY 5.7bn to a loss of JPY 870bn.
In early 2020, SoftBank’s narrative was underpinned by the damage wrought by COVID-19. A year later, with much of its tech portfolio enjoying pandemic tailwinds, the firm championed its ability to hatch “golden eggs” by betting big on promising start-ups. The 2022 annual presentation leads on macro chaos: COVID-19, Ukraine, rising commodity prices, inflation, interest rate hikes, and volatile public markets. Regulatory turmoil in China’s technology is barely referenced in the presentation. However, Masayoshi Son, SoftBank’s founder, said investments in the country would trend towards the smaller. The overall tone was more muted, with SoftBank promising to go on the defensive and focus on monetising existing positions. The rollercoaster ride that is the Vision Fund series isn’t surprising. A strategy that involves placing outsized bets on perceived market leaders is spectacular when all goes well but disastrous when it doesn’t. Even though Vision Fund 2 has shifted to smaller, often earlier-stage investments, much of the big money ethos remains. Prior to the recent nadir, most of which unfolded in the first three months of 2022, critics of the Vision Fund model argued that capital is no longer a differentiator: plenty of other investors are now willing and able to write large cheques. Now SoftBank faces the prospect of tending to a wounded portfolio when much of the growth-stage capital spurring the sector to new highs has run away.reasons. ![]() All of the trends featured here were sourced from AVCJ's proprietary database, AVCJ Research, featuring comprehensive information on private equity deals, fundraises and exits.
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