It is a well established trend that Australian LPs are increasingly looking to internationalize their private equity exposure, arguably at the expense of domestic GPs. Foreign investors looking to enter Australia are not deterred. Sebastiaan van den Berg, managing director at HarbourVest Partners, has no plans to scale back, citing the country’s stable economy, rule of law and experienced GP community.
He does admit, however, that the retreat of domestic LPs leaves their foreign counterparts in a bind. "Perhaps from a more selfish perspective, less capital driving up valuations is better - to the extent that less capital is raised, we probably benefit from that net-net," he tells AVCJ TV. "But we want the GP community here to be successful and it's important for Australian LPs to be long-term active participants."
Nevertheless, an increasingly discerning domestic LP base and weaker economic conditions - Australia's natural resources sector is thriving, but this doesn't extend to the retail space, for example - have created more challenging conditions for GPs. Van den Berg doesn't expect everyone to survive, noting that, unlike six years ago, a rising tide is no longer floating all boats.
"What is happening now, as it becomes increasingly difficult to rely on the global macro environment and multiples arbitrage, the only way you can get attractive returns is through strong operational improvements," he says. "Only a few GPs are really good at that, so you probably will see some go out of business or merge and consolidate. That in itself is not a bad thing."
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In 2015, China is expected to experience a "new normal of growth". For private equity investors, China's new stage of growth represents huge opportunities: an increase of 270% in online consumption, the reform of over a hundred sovereign-owned enterprises, trillion-dollar investments into overseas infrastructure projects, the rising entrance of young entrepreneurs, and many more.
To be held on 28 and 29 May, the 14th annual AVCJ China Forum 2015 in Beijing will feature these exciting topics and bring together top-notch speakers from across the world.Join the premium industrial gathering of over 300 private equity professionals, regulators and senior executives for two days of mind-provoking discussions, networking and more.
28-29 May 2015, China World Summit Wing,Beijing
There is a feeling that now is a shrewd time to invest in Japan and take advantage of the favourable conditions for private equity. Valuations are low compared with the rest of Asia and strategic buyers and the IPO market are providing an attractive route for exits. There are also signs that corporate Japan is slowly coming around to engaging PE as a potential buyer for non-core assets and recent developments at the GPIF suggest that PE will be under strong consideration for allocations from pension funds in the near future as well as regional banks committing to the asset class right now.
The macro concerns that have been present for many years still remain in terms of low growth and currency depreciation but these are encouraging times for fund managers looking to both raise capital from Japanese LPs and make investments.
245-26 June 2015, Conrad Hotel, Tokyo